通过仿真技术验证城市公交服务质量测量方法

J. Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在以往对城市公交服务质量的研究中,通过基于统计三步交叉验证的测量模型竞争过程,Lin的短版BUSQUAL模型比Parasuraman, zeeithaml, and Berry(以下简称PZB)的SERVQUAL量表和Jen and Hu的SERVQUAL量表在城市公交服务质量方面表现出统计稳定性和模型适应度。然而,在基于统计交叉验证的过程中,稳定性意味着统计无差异。原始样品和交叉验证样品的估计结果仍有微小差异,存在不确定性。基于仿真的分析是分析具有不确定性的模型的有力工具,能够为测量模型的稳定性提供更有说服力的证据,这是一个需要研究的重要问题。因此,本研究利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法和先验分布信息,启动基于贝叶斯的蒙特卡罗仿真分析程序,验证Lin的短版BUSQUAL的稳定性。研究结果表明,Lin的14项4因子短版BUSQUAL模型具有一定的稳定性,为城市公交服务质量的测度提供了一个稳定可靠的方法。
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Validate Service Quality Measurement for City Bus through Simulation Technique
In previous research on the quality of city bus service, through a statistical three-step cross-validation-based measurement model competing procedure, Lin’s short-version BUSQUAL model demonstrated statistical stability and better model fitness than Parasuraman, Zeithaml, and Berry’s (PZB’s in short) SERVQUAL scale and Jen and Hu’s SERVQUAL scale for city bus. However, stability in the statistical cross-validation-based procedure means statistical indifference. The estimated results of original sample and the cross-validated sample still have a minor difference and imply uncertainty. A simulation-based analysis that is a powerful tool to analyze a model with uncertainty and can provide more convincing evidence for the stability of the measurement model is absent and is an important issue to be studied. Therefore, this research launches a Bayes-based Monte Carlo simulation analysis procedure using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and prior distribution information to validate the stability of Lin’s short-version BUSQUAL. The result of the study indicates that Lin’s short-version BUSQUAL model with 14 items and four factors displays stability and therefore offers a stable and reliable approach for measuring the service quality of city bus.
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