基于粒子群算法的上合组织国家直接投资风险评估方法

Lei Shen, Wen Tian
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摘要

为了控制对上合组织国家直接投资的风险,提出了一种基于粒子群算法的上合组织国家直接投资风险评估方法。上海合作组织是致力于解决欧亚地区各种安全问题、促进六国间贸易发展和文化交流的组织。根据成员国的民族结构和产业结构分析其投资结构。利用判断矩阵求出风险评价各指标的权重值。结合一致性检验,计算了上合组织国家直接投资风险评估指标的权重。采用粒子群算法求解直接投资风险评价指标的最优解。根据投资构成与主要风险因素的对应关系,构建上合组织国家直接投资风险评价体系。通过风险评价算法,实现了对上合组织国家直接投资的风险评价。
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Risk Assessment Method of Direct Investment in SCO Countries Based on Particle Swarm Algorithm
In order to control the risk of direct investment in SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) countries, a risk assessment method for direct investment in SCO countries based on particle swarm algorithm is proposed. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is an organization devoted to solving various security problems in the Eurasian region and promoting trade development and cultural exchanges among the six countries. Analyze the investment structure of SCO member states according to their national and industrial structures. The weight value of each index of risk assessment is obtained by using the judgment matrix. Combined with the consistency test, the weight of the risk assessment indicators of SCO countries' direct investment is calculated. Particle swarm optimization is used to search the optimal solution of the risk evaluation index of direct investment. According to the corresponding relationship between investment composition and main risk factors, the risk evaluation system of SCO countries' direct investment is constructed. Through the risk evaluation algorithm, the risk evaluation of SCO countries' direct investment is realized.
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