基于可变加密货币资本化评估框架的多参数预测模型

A. Bataev, E. Plotnikova, Svetlana B. Gladkova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

工业领域的工业4.0和金融领域的金融科技是数字经济发展的主要方向之一。金融机构在实施信息通信技术方面仅次于电信公司。创新数字技术的引入有助于形成新的商业形式和工具,为经济发展开辟新的空间。金融领域的这种基于数字技术的创新工具之一就是加密货币,它已经成为基于区块链技术和创新加密保护技术的电子支付方式领域的突破领域之一。本文考虑了建立一种创新的支付手段——加密货币的基本概念和原则,分析了这种法定货币的发展阶段和现有数字货币的分类,并对迄今为止形成的全球加密货币市场的主要参数进行了财务分析。经济领域的主要问题之一是金融工具的有效性问题,特别是加密货币资本化问题。这种或那种加密货币将在多大程度上成为一种有前途的投资工具,这是目前最相关的问题之一。在这方面,本文提出并分析了一个多参数预测计量经济学模型,该模型定义了影响加密货币资本化的主要参数。在此基础上,分析了加密货币的未来发展前景和趋势,以及加密货币融入现有全球支付体系的可能性。
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Multiparametic Forecast Model with Variable Cryptocurrency Capitalization Assessment Framework
One of the main directions in the development of the digital economy is Industry 4.0 in industry and Fintech in the financial sector. Financial institutions are second only to telecommunication companies in the implementation of information and communication technologies. The introduction of innovative digital technologies contributes to the formation of new forms and tools of conducting business, opening new horizons for economic development. One of such innovative tools in the financial sector, based on digital technologies, is cryptocurrency, which has become one of the breakthrough areas in the field of electronic payment methods based on blockchain technology and innovative cryptographic protection technologies. The paper considers the basic concepts and principles of the establishing of an innovative means of payment - cryptocurrencies, analyzes the stages of development of this legal tender and classifications of the existing digital money, and conducts a financial analysis of the main parameters of the global cryptocurrency market that has been formed as of today. One of the main issues in the economic sphere is the issue of effectiveness of a financial instrument, the cryptocurrency capitalization inter alia. The question to what extent this or that cryptocurrency will become a promising investment tool is currently one of the most relevant. In this regard, the article presents and analyzes a multi-parameter predictive econometric model that defines the main parameters affecting capitalization of cryptocurrencies. Based on the study, further prospects and trends of the development of cryptocurrencies, the possibility of their integration into the existing global payment system are analyzed.
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