考虑风电场不确定性的短期动态输电扩张规划

M. Moghaddam, Sanaz Mahmoudi, B. Alizadeh
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引用次数: 3

摘要

应根据负荷增长进行输电扩容规划,以鼓励和促进电力市场竞争,并适当满足环境、政治、经济和技术方面的限制。针对随机短期动态输电扩展规划(DTEP)问题,提出了一个考虑负荷需求、风电场输出功率和局部边际电价等不确定性的新框架。此外,负荷需求和OPWFs不确定性的评估方法也会影响扩容计划的质量。因此,本文采用蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)和田口正交阵列测试(TOAT)两种不同的方法来模拟这些不确定性。将所提出的DTEP结构在Garver 6总线测试系统上的结果进行了比较,结果表明MCS方案比TOAT方案效率更高。
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Short-term dynamic transmission expansion planning considering wind farms' uncertainty
Transmission expansion planning should be performed according to the load growth to encourage and facilitate competition in the electricity markets, and meet the environmental, political, economic and technical constraints, appropriately. This paper presents a new framework for the stochastic short-term Dynamic Transmission Expansion Planning (DTEP) problem taking into account the uncertainties related to the load demand, output power of wind farms (OPWFs), and Local Marginal Prices (LMPs). Besides, methods to evaluate the load demand and OPWFs uncertainties can affect the quality of expansion plans. Therefore, in this paper, two different methods, Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and Taguchi's Orthogonal Array Testing (TOAT), are used to model these uncertainties. The comparison of the results given by the proposed DTEP structure on the Garver 6-bus test system demonstrates the higher efficiency of MCS plans than TOAT.
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