气候与14世纪早期欧洲东北部的危机

Heli Huhtamaa
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文以14世纪的气候危机为例,展示了如何将树木年轮材料应用于历史研究。中世纪的欧洲东北部是一个很有希望的研究案例,因为这个时期和地区的气候敏感的树木年轮数据很容易获得。13世纪10年代,西欧的大片地区受到了持续的大雨和严冬的影响,而这些树木年代学证据表明,欧洲东北部并没有受到影响。13世纪10年代晚期,更广泛地说,14世纪上半叶,欧洲东北部的气候条件普遍有利。从树木年轮分析中获得的新信息与对该地区发展的既定理解并置,挑战了14世纪危机到达欧洲最东北角的观点。这个案例研究表明,气候和社会的遥相关,就像14世纪早期的危机一样,可以在不同的地方以非常不同的方式在社会层面上实现。
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Climate and the Crises of the Early Fourteenth Century in Northeastern Europe
: This article demonstrates how tree-ring material can be applied to historical research using the climate-driven crises of the fourteenth century as a case study. Medieval northeastern Europe is a promising case study for such a purpose, because climate-sensitive tree-ring data are readily available for this period and region. Whereas large areas of western Europe were affected by continuous heavy rains and bitter winters during the 1310s, this dendrochronological evidence suggests that northeastern Europe was not. Favorable climatic conditions prevailed in northeastern Europe in the late 1310s, and, more generally speaking, during the first half of the fourteenth century, as well. The juxtaposition of this new information from tree-ring analyses with the established understanding of the development of the region challenges the view that the crises of the fourteenth century reached the northeasternmost corner of Europe. The case study demonstrates how teleconnections of climate and society, like the crises of the early fourteenth century, can materialize on a societal level very different ways in different locations.
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