中国航空运输业碳排放影响因素分析

Changzheng Zhu, Yarong Yang, Xinrong Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着中国经济的发展,航空运输业的规模越来越大,其碳排放增长也越来越快。分析航空运输业碳排放的影响因素,可以为政府制定控制航空运输业碳排放的政策提供参考。本文在对1998 - 2019年中国航空运输业碳排放量进行计算的基础上,采用Laspeyres完全指数分解方法,对航空运输业碳排放的影响因素进行分析。结果表明,经济产出效应、运输强度效应和人口规模效应对航空运输业碳排放增长均有正向促进作用。其中,经济产出效应的促进作用最强,交通强度效应次之,人口规模效应的促进作用最小。然而,能源强度效应可以抑制航空运输业的碳排放。
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Analysis on the Influencing Factors of the Carbon Emissions in China's Air Transport Industry
With the development of China's economy, the scale of air transport industry is getting larger and larger, and its carbon emissions are growing faster. Analyzing the influencing factors of the carbon emissions in air transport industry can provide a reference for the government to make policies of controlling the carbon emissions in air transport industry. Based on the calculation of the carbon emissions in China's air transport industry from 1998 to 2019, this paper adopts Laspeyres complete index decomposition method to analyze the influencing factors of the carbon emissions in air transport industry. The results show that economic output effect, transportation intensity effect and population size effect all play a positive role in promoting the growth of the carbon emissions in air transport industry. Among them, economic output effect provides the strongest promotion, followed by transportation intensity effect, and population size effect provide the least promotion. However, the energy intensity effect can restrain the carbon emissions in air transport industry.
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