基于深度学习的混合估计模型(CNN-GRU)风速估计

Cem Emeksiz, Muhammed Musa Fındık
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现在,对能源的需求日益增加。为了满足这一需求,结构比化石能源更环保的可再生能源应运而生。近年来,研究人员对风能非常关注。因为它具有许多经济和环境优势。特别是风速是风能发电的重要参数。因此,风速的估算对于投资者和制造商来说都是非常重要的。本文提出了一种基于深度学习方法的混合风速估计模型。该模型由两种主要的深度学习方法(卷积神经网络(CNN)和门控循环单元(GRU))组成。该模型应用于两个案例研究(每周风速估算和每月风速估算)。采用性能标准(MAPE、r2、RMSE)对模型的可靠性和准确性进行了检验。为了衡量模型的成功与否,我们与5种不同的深度学习方法(CNN-LSTM、CNN-RNN、LSTM-GRU、LSTM、GRU)进行了比较。经比较,首次应用于风速预报领域的CNN-GRU混合模式取得了较高的成功率。
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Hybrid Estimation Model (CNN-GRU) Based on Deep Learning for Wind Speed Estimation
– Nowadays, the need for energy is increasing day by day. In order to meet this demand, renewable energy sources that have a more environmentally friendly structure than fossil-based sources come to the fore. In recent years, researchers have been paying great attention to wind energy. Because it has the many economic and environmental advantages. In particular, wind speed is very important parameter for electric energy production form wind energy. Therefore, estimation of wind speed is very important for both investors and manufacturers. A hybrid model for wind speed estimation with deep learning methods is proposed in this study. The proposed model consists two main deep learning methods (Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)). The proposed model was applied in two case studies (weekly and monthly wind speed estimation). The reliability and accuracy of the proposed model were tested by performance criteria (MAPE, R 2 , RMSE). In order to measure the success of the model, a comparison was made with 5 different deep learning methods (CNN-LSTM, CNN-RNN, LSTM-GRU, LSTM, GRU). It has been observed that the CNN-GRU hybrid model, which was used for the first time in the field of wind speed forecasting, achieved a high percentage of success as a result of comparisons made.
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