用方差转移概率和路径积分求解随机波动模型

A. Amin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文解决了随机波动率模型的求解问题,其中波动率扩散可以用一维Fokker-planck方程求解。我们使用一维转移概率来描述方差偏方差的演化。我们还发现了随机波动变量的任意路径依赖函数期望值沿PDE网格的演化动力学。利用这种方法,我们找到了终端资产价格的对数矩沿一维正向Kolmogorov PDE的每个节点的条件期望值。我们利用上述路径积分的矩沿方差网格的条件分布,并利用Edgeworth展开式计算了资产价格的log密度。如果我们能够描述波动率(或任何其他SDE)的路径依赖函数在PDE网格上任意节点上的条件期望值在PDE的不同节点之间的一步条件演化,那么本文的主要结果只用一维PDE给出了其条件期望值在PDE网格上任意节点上的演化动力学。
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Solution of Stochastic Volatility Models Using Variance Transition Probabilities and Path Integrals
In this paper, we solve the problem of solution of stochastic volatility models in which the volatility diffusion can be solved by a one dimensional Fokker-planck equation. We use one dimensional transition probabilities for the evolution of PDE of variance. We also find dynamics of evolution of expected value of any path dependent function of stochastic volatility variable along the PDE grid. Using this technique, we find the conditional expected values of moments of log of terminal asset price along every node of one dimensional forward Kolmogorov PDE. We use the conditional distribution of moments of above path integrals along the variance grid and use Edgeworth expansions to calculate the density of log of asset price. Main result of the paper gives dynamics of evolution of conditional expected value of a path dependent function of volatility (or any other SDE) at any node on the PDE grid using just one dimensional PDE if we can describe its one step conditional evolution between different nodes of the PDE.
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