复杂关键任务系统中的知识冗余循环

D. Mann
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摘要

根据一项20年、1000万个案例研究项目的研究,98%的创新尝试以失败告终。这项研究的主要目的是破译2%成功尝试的基础、第一原则驱动的“DNA”。这个DNA的核心是三个基本要素:需要接受复杂适应系统的动态,需要积极寻找并消除妥协和矛盾,需要行业领域定期忘记已经变得多余的知识。本章讨论了这三个支柱。特别关注知识冗余主题,其中知识的生命周期在元、宏观和微观层次上遵循不同的、重复的进化模式。该研究进一步展示了组织如何使用这些模式客观地识别冗余“脉冲率”,从而客观地管理所需新知识的获取和不再适合目的的知识的处置。研究还表明,这种“忘却”活动的一个关键方面要求组织领导者承认并适应伴随变革计划而来的人类情感,在这种情感中,定义一个人的能力的东西会成为企业未来成功的危险。
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Knowledge Redundancy Cycles in Complex Mission-Critical Systems
Based on a 20-year, 10-million case study programme of research, 98% of all innovation attempts end in failure. The main aim of the research has been to decode the underpinning, first-principle-driven ‘DNA’ of the 2% of successful attempts. Sitting right at the centre of this DNA is a triad of fundamentals: the need to embrace the dynamics of complex adaptive systems, the need to actively seek out and eliminate compromises and contradictions, and the need for industry domains to periodically unlearn knowledge that has become redundant. The chapter discusses all three of these pillars. Particular attention is paid to the knowledge redundancy topic, where the fact that the life-cycle of knowledge follows distinct, repeating patterns of evolution at meta, macro and microhierarchical levels is demonstrated. The research further demonstrates how organizations can use these patterns to objectively identify redundancy ‘pulse-rates’ and thus objectively manage both the acquisition of required new knowledge and the disposal of knowledge that is no longer fit for purpose. The research shows too that a key aspect of this ‘unlearning’ activity demands that organizational leaders acknowledge and accommodate the very human emotions that accompany change initiatives where the things that define a person’s competence become a hazard to the future success of the enterprise.
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