MOpA©:企业家的多重机会筛选启发式

Thomas J. Lynch IV
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摘要

许多机会评估文献都侧重于评估单个机会,而不是多个机会。然而,与企业家的讨论以及个人经验表明,许多企业家有多个机会,他们同时筛选。因此,挑战在于单独评估每一个机会的可行性,并与正在审查的其他机会作比较。第二个挑战是在机会评估过程中保持客观性。不止一位企业家,包括其中一位作者,甚至在进行任何研究之前就谈到了特定的机会是如何引起他们的共鸣的。如果企业家有办法客观地评估多个机会,他们就会对哪些机会最有成功的潜力有更现实的看法。作者探讨了如何分析机会,然后对多个机会的过程进行建模,并开发了一种启发式方法来帮助企业家做出努力。多重机会分析过程(MOpA©)在本科和研究生创业课程的学生以及企业家中进行了预先测试。在做出适当的改变后,进行了一个案例研究,其中评估了一个企业家的多个机会。这种启发式方法被证明是可行的,可以将机会迅速缩小到一个小得多的集合,并确定最佳选择。据作者所知,这种启发式是其类型中唯一的一种,并且,通过进一步的测试,可能对该领域具有重要价值。
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MOpA©: A Multiple Opportunity Screening Heuristic for Entrepreneurs
Much of the opportunity assessment literature focuses on evaluating a single opportunity rather than multiple opportunities. However, discussions with entrepreneurs, as well as personal experience, suggests that many entrepreneurs have multiple opportunities that they are screening in parallel. As such, the challenge is to assess each opportunity for its viability individually and against other opportunities under review. A second challenge is retaining objectivity in the opportunity assessment process. More than one entrepreneur, including one of the authors, spoke of how particular opportunities resonated with them, even before any research had been conducted. If entrepreneurs have a means to evaluate multiple opportunities objectively, they will have a much more realistic view of which opportunities have the highest potential for success. The authors explored how opportunities are analyzed, then modeled the process for multiple opportunities and developed a heuristic to assist entrepreneurs with the effort. The Multiple Opportunity Analysis Process (MOpA©) was pre-tested with students in undergraduate and postgraduate entrepreneurship courses, and with entrepreneurs. After making appropriate changes, a single case study was conducted in which one entrepreneur’s multiple opportunities were assessed. The heuristic proved to be viable at narrowing the opportunities quickly to a much smaller set, as well as identifying the best alternative. To the authors’ knowledge, this heuristic is the only one of its type, and, with further testing, may hold significant value for the field.
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