基于Apache Spark的变压器区域负荷预测研究

Qi Hui, Tang Haibo, Feng Wei, Wen Beibei, Wu Qian
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引用次数: 1

摘要

电力公司积累的海量数据为负荷预测提供了基础数据轮廓。本文建立了一个动态贝叶斯网络作为变压器区负荷预测模型。基于大量变压器历史数据,采用并行计算平台Apache Spark对模型参数进行并行计算。同时,利用Pregel计算模型对前向后向算法进行并行化,实现预测任务。实验结果表明,本文提出的基于分布式图计算的变压器区域负荷预测技术具有预测精度高、计算速度快的特点。
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Research on Apache Spark Based Transformer Areas Load Forecasting
The massive data accumulated by the power company provides the basic data profile for load forecasting. In this paper, a dynamic Bayesian network is built as a load forecasting model of transformer areas. The parallel computing platform Apache Spark is used to calculate the parameters of the model based on large volume of transformers' historical data in parallel. Meanwhile, the Pregel computing model is used to parallelize the forward backward algorithm to realize the forecasting tasks. The experimental results show that the proposed transformer areas load forecasting technology based on distributed graph computing has high prediction accuracy and fast calculation speed.
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