化工过程中定量风险评估的管理

J. S. Arendt
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引用次数: 8

摘要

对美国重大化学事故风险的担忧日益加剧,促使政府和工业界寻找新的方法来识别和评估潜在的危害。在最有希望的(也是被误解的)方法中,称为定量风险评估(QRA)的技术集合。QRA主要是从其他行业开发的概率风险评估方法中改编而来的,它的使用正在美国化学工业中迅速传播。同样重要的是,州和联邦一级的立法者和监管机构正在将QRA作为其强制性事故预防措施建议的组成部分。本文总结了1990年5月在多伦多举行的由美国化学工业学会化学过程安全中心主办的过程安全管理国际会议和讲习班上提出的关于质量评估的讲习班。它是基于为化学制造商协会开发的QRA[1]经理指南。本文给出了指南的概述,并讨论了有关QRA作为化学监管工具日益被接受的重要含义。
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Management of quantitative risk assessment in the chemical process industry
Growing concern about the risk of major chemical accidents in the U.S. has led both government and industry to find new ways to identify and evaluate potential hazards. Among the most promising (and misunderstood) approaches is a collection of techniques called quantitative risk assessment (QRA). Adapted primarily from probabilistic risk assessment approaches developed in other industries, the use of QRA is spreading rapidly through the U.S. chemical industry. Of equal importance, legislators and regulatory agencies at the state and federal level are making QRA an integral part of their proposals for mandatory accident prevention measures. This paper summarizes a workshop on QRA that was presented at the International Conference and Workshop on Process Safety Management, sponsored by the AIChE Center for Chemical Process Safety, in Toronto during May 1990. It is based on A Manager's Guide to QRA [1] developed for the Chemical Manufacturers Association. This paper gives an overview of the Guide and discusses important implications concerning the increasing acceptance of QRA as a chemical regulatory tool.
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