埃塞俄比亚Tepi地区降雨预测的数据挖掘技术

D. Sivanesan, M. J. Idrisi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

农业主要依赖于降雨,特别是在像埃塞俄比亚(非洲)这样的国家,因为灌溉系统在实践中并不多。其中一个主要原因是因为它的自然地形。虽然影响农业产量的因素很多,但应该考虑决定粮食产量的主要因素是降雨。降雨的预测可以通过使用不同的技术,如回归分析、聚类、人工神经网络(ANN)和模糊逻辑来完成。因此,这项研究的意义对于埃塞俄比亚西南部的特皮地区(SNNPR)是至关重要的,因为农业是生活在这里的人们的主要职业。本研究在该地区尚属首次,本文基于已有降水资料,利用LR - Linear Regression技术对未来连续三年的降水进行早期预测,结果与降雨预测相关。
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Data mining techniques for rainfall prediction in the Tepi region of Ethiopia
Agriculture depends mainly on the rainfall especially in countries like Ethiopia (Africa) as irrigation system is not much in practice. One of the main reasons is because of its natural topography. Though there are many factors that affect the agricultural yield, it is appropriate to consider the main factor rainfall that decides about the food production. The prediction of the rainfall can be done by using different techniques like regression analysis, clustering, artificial neural network (ANN) and fuzzy logic. Therefore, the significance of this research is essential for the Tepi region in the south west part of Ethiopia (SNNPR) where agriculture is the main occupation of the people living here. This research is first of its kind conducted in this region, and this paper shows the result related with the rainfall prediction by using LR – Linear Regression technique for the early prediction of the next consecutive three (3) years based on the previous available rainfall data.  
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