不稳定环境下的经济稳定策略

A. Grytsenko
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摘要

这篇文章涉及Sergio Mariotti的文章“俄乌战争的警告:避免与过去押韵的未来”中提出的问题。作者支持从更广泛的角度看待这些事件,并在分析中纳入历史成分的建议。同时,有人认为,比较历史分析可能不足以解决如此复杂的问题。提出了从抽象到具体的上升方法,它允许将系统的现代现象作为整个历史发展的结果。在此基础上,指出乌克兰战争是全球化与本土化矛盾的具体表现,这种矛盾在历史上起源于劳动分工,并在近代达到了发展的顶峰。在工业市场经济向信息网络经济过渡的基础上,出现了一种混合型的“和平-战争”体系,开始了改变世界秩序的进程,这自然增加了不确定性和矛盾。自由贸易政策和保护主义政策只是全球化和本土化矛盾的具体表现。研究表明,由于全球化和本土化矛盾及其具体表现的加剧,出现了确保经济可持续发展的民族根源的客观倾向。这种趋势的普遍化和有意识地加以利用,就必须形成以国家为基础的经济发展战略,这种战略在新的技术和技术系统完成和以信息网络为基础的社会经济关系系统形成之前是有意义的。本文确定了与乌克兰当前情况有关的以国家为基础的经济发展战略的主要特点。
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STRATEGIES OF ECONOMIC STABILITY IN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
The article deals with the problems raised in Sergio Mariotti's article on "A warning from the Russian-Ukrainian war: avoiding a future that rhymes with the past". The author supports the proposal for a broader view of the events and for the inclusion of a historical component in the analysis. At the same time, it is argued that a comparative historical analysis might be insufficient to solve such complex problems. The method of ascent from the abstract to the concrete is proposed, which allows considering systemic modern phenomena as a result of the entire previous historical development. On this basis, it is shown that the war in Ukraine is a concrete manifestation of the contradictions of globalization and localization, which historically originated from the jointly-divided labor and reached the apogee of their development in modern times. A hybrid "peace-war" system emerged and the process of changing the world order began based on the transition from industrial-market economy to information-network economy, which naturally increases uncertainties and contradictions. The policy of free trade and the policy of protectionism only are concrete manifestations of the contradictions of globalization and localization. It is shown that as a result of the aggravation of the contradictions of globalization and localization and their specific manifestations, objective tendencies to ensure the national rootedness of the sustainability of economic development arise. The generalization of such trends and their conscious use necessitates the formation of strategies of nationally rooted economic development, which will be relevant until the completion of a new technical and technological system and the formation of an information network based system of socio-economic relations. The article identifies the main features of the strategy of nationally rooted economic development relevant for the current conditions of Ukraine.
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Science and innovation in Ukraine: approaches to policy making in times of war REGULATION OF UKRAINE’S COMMODITY MARKETS IN CONDITIONS OF EMERGENCY AND MARTIAL LAW A RHYMED CHRONICLE OF THE WAR UKRAINE’S POST-WAR ECONOMY: INTERNATIONAL AID AND GROWTH POLICY STRATEGIES OF ECONOMIC STABILITY IN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
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