哪些因素推动了P2P网贷的提前还款?来自Prosper.Com的证据

Shaofang Li, Xiaolin Li
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文基于从Prosper.com收集的数据,研究了驱动P2P借贷提前还款的因素。通过对2009年7月至2013年8月50109笔贷款的数据分析,我们发现,利率和贷款金额越高,借款人在到期前足额还款的概率越低。对于借款人特征而言,债务收入比、工作年限、拖欠金额和循环还款对贷款结果有显著的负向影响。宏观经济变量GDP增长显著正相关,而贷款利率与贷款提前还款概率显著负相关。我们还发现,月收入和繁荣评级是促使借款人在到期前全额偿还贷款的主要原因。
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Which Factors Drive the Prepayment of P2P Lending? Evidence from Prosper.Com
This paper investigates which factors drive the prepayment of Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending based on the data collected from Prosper.com. By using the lending data of 50,109 loans between July 2009 and August 2013, we find that higher interest rate and loan amount indicate lower probability that the borrower fully paid the loan before the maturity. For the borrower characteristics, debt to income, employment length, delinquent amount, and revolving payment are significantly and negatively affect the outcome of the loans. Macroeconomic variable GDP growth is positivity significant while lending rate is negatively and significantly related to the probability of prepayment of the loans. We also find that monthly income and Prosper Rating are the main reasons which drive the borrowers to fully paid the loan before the maturity.
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