海底管道卷取力学的机器学习

Eric Giry, V. Cocault-Duverger, M. Pauthenet, L. Chec
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引用次数: 0

摘要

采用卷绕法安装海底管道是一种很有吸引力的方法。管道被焊接成长段,通常有几公里长,并卷绕在一个大直径的桶上。然后,管道被运送到这样的卷筒上,然后被解开卷筒,放到海底。当管道绕到鼓上时,需要控制管道的变形,以避免局部屈曲。通常通过适当的管道设计和卷取操作参数来减轻这种故障。屈曲是由于管道接头处强度不连续导致焊缝周向附近应变过度集中造成的,主要取决于钢壁厚和屈服强度。这需要对通过试错法获得的关键不匹配进行表征。这种方法是一个漫长的过程,因为每次“试验”都需要一个完整的有限元分析运行。这样的模拟既复杂又冗长。有时,这可以推动管道最小壁厚的选择,这是项目进展的关键参数。因此,这种方法的时间范围与这种关键的决定是不相容的。本文讨论了近似模型的使用,以充分利用数据,降低设计成本。为此,实现了实验设计和计算工具链的自动化。结果表明,采用设计空间描述和探索技术,如实验设计与先进的统计回归技术相结合,可以代替有限元计算过程的初始复杂链,从而提供近似模型。本文介绍了这种方法的实施,并对结果进行了讨论。
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Machine Learning for Subsea Pipeline Reeling Mechanics
Installation of subsea pipelines using reeling process is an attractive method. The pipeline is welded in long segments, typically several kilometers in length, and reeled onto a large diameter drum. The pipeline is then transported onto such reel to the offshore site where it is unreeled and lowered on the seabed. The deformation imposed on the pipeline while spooled onto the drum needs to be controlled so that local buckling is avoided. Mitigation of such failure is generally provided by proper pipeline design & reeling operation parameters. Buckling stems from excessive strain concentration near the circumferential weld area resulting from strength discontinuity at pipeline joints, mainly depending on steel wall thickness and yield strength. This requires the characterization of critical mismatches obtained by trial and error. Such method is a long process since each “trial” requires a complete Finite Element Analysis run. Such simulations are complex and lengthy. Occasionally, this can drive the selection of the pipeline minimum wall thickness, which is a key parameter for progressing the project. The timeframe of such method is therefore not compatible with such a key decision. The paper discusses the use of approximation models to capitalize on the data and alleviate the design cost. To do so, design of experiments and automation of the computational tool chain are implemented. It is demonstrated that initial complex chain of FEA computational process can be replaced using design space description and exploration techniques such as design of experiments combined with advanced statistical regression techniques in order to provide an approximation model. This paper presents the implementation of such methodology and the results are discussed.
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