大衰退后的美国央行:新常态?

J. Cheng, Sijia He, Zhuohan Yu, C. Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文首先对前瞻性指引和量化宽松这两种非常规货币政策的运用进行了评估,并分别分析了它们的优势和有效应用。此外,我们还分析了影响这两项政策有效性的因素,从而使我们能够根据这些因素的变化来预测它们在可预见的未来的有效性。在这项工作中,我们发现这些因素最近降低了两个UMPs的有效性。由于其有效性减弱,我们得出结论,这两项政策不应被视为“新常态”。
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Central Banking after the Great Recession in U.S.: a new normal?
This paper firstly evaluates the use of two unconventional monetary policies (UMPs), forward guidance and quantitative easing, with their strengths and effective applications respectively. Besides, factors that influence the effectiveness of the two policies are being analyzed, thereby allowing us to predict how their effectiveness will be in a foreseeable future according to the changes in the factors. In this work, we find out that these factors have reduced the effectiveness of the two UMPs recently. Due to its weakened effectiveness, we made a conclusion that the two policies should not be considered as ‘a new normal’.
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