俄罗斯在叙利亚行动的政治和军事教训

V. Volovoj
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摘要

俄罗斯联邦支持巴沙尔·阿萨德政权打击恐怖分子和反对派的决定成为世界政治中的一个关键事件,对全球国际关系、中东的未来和俄罗斯本身都产生了长期影响。在这种背景下,最重要的问题之一是,克里姆林宫为什么决定干预叙利亚,它在叙利亚的行动有什么政治和军事教训?可以说,弗拉基米尔·普京的主要政治目标是让美国把俄罗斯视为国际舞台上一个严肃的(如果不是平等的)参与者,他实现了这个目标,使他的国家成为中东的一个关键因素。俄罗斯军队是否能够有效地在国外以低成本改变叙利亚局势,这是一个疑问。它证明了它足够高效,展示了俄罗斯武器的优势,并在许多领域获得了宝贵的经验。与此同时,克里姆林宫在叙利亚的游戏结局尚不清楚,但这可能是其帝国野心复苏的不可避免的代价。
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Political and military lessons of the Russian campaign in Syria
Decision of the Russian Federation to support the regime of Bashar Assad in its fight with terrorists and opposition became a crucial event in the world politics with the long-term consequences for global international relations, for the future of the Middle East and for Russia itself. One of the most important questions in this context is why Kremlin decided to interfere and what are the political and military lessons of its campaign in Syria? It can be said that the main political goal of Vladimir Putin was to make the United States take Russia into account as a serious (if not equal) player in the international arena, and he reached that goal, making his state a key factor in the Middle East. There was a doubt if Russian army is able to act effectively abroad and change Syrian situation at low cost. It proved that it is efficient enough, showing the advantages of Russian weaponry, and got valuable experience in many spheres. At the same time, the end of the Kremlin game in Syria is not clear, but this can be an inevitable price of its revived imperial ambitions.
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