新产品设计的集成市场仿真模型

S. Tsafarakis, A. Doulamis, N. Matsatsinis
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引用次数: 2

摘要

市场模拟器帮助管理者在产品设计和定价决策,通过先进的启发式算法为消费者购买行为建模。我们提出了一个用于此类系统的模型,该模型结合了模拟器理论上应反映的两个关键属性的有效结合,在实际选择份额估计中具有出色的性能。通过选择规则中对客户异质性和产品相似性的表示来表现差异性影响和替代性,而通过随机对数搜索算法的实现来显示较高的预测精度。
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An integrated market simulation model for the design of new products
Market simulators assist managers in product design and pricing decisions, through advanced heuristic algorithms for consumer buying behavior modeling. We propose a model for use in such systems, which combines the effective incorporation of the two critical properties a simulator should theoretically reflects, with exceptionally performance in actual choice shares estimation. Differential Impact and Substitution are exhibited through the representation of customer heterogeneity and product similarity in the choice rule, while high predictive accuracy is displayed with the implementation of the Stochastic Logarithmic Search algorithm.
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