作为货币政策要素的欧亚经济联盟成员国的去美元化进程

K. Ivanova
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摘要

欧亚经济联盟地区的经济一体化自然涵盖了货币领域的合作,这是其经典理解中更高层次的一体化阶段。宏观经济发展的不平衡和欧亚经济联盟成员国货币制度中的一些问题是加强货币领域合作的障碍。所有欧亚经济联盟成员国共同面临的一个重大问题是其经济的美元化,这限制了货币机构调节该国宏观经济进程的能力。用“硬通货”代替本国货币进行结算、支付和储蓄,降低了传导渠道的效率,恶化了本国货币的波动性指标,并加强了对通货膨胀水平的负面预期的形成。以外币计价的债务负担的增加,特别是对个人来说,给各国的货币制度带来了额外的风险。本文致力于研究欧亚经济联盟成员国经济美元化的问题,必要的去美元化措施,以及分析在区域集团一级传播的去美元化进程的前景。
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De-dollarization Process in the EAEU Member States as an Element of the Monetary Policy
Economic integration in the EEU region naturally captures the area of cooperation in the monetary sphere, which is a more high-level stage of integration in its classical understanding. The imbalances in macroeconomic development and a number of problems in the monetary systems of the EEU member-countries are an obstacle to the intensification of cooperation in the monetary sphere. One of the significant problems, common to all the EEU member-states is the dollarization of their economies, which imposes restrictions on the ability of monetary bodies to regulate macroeconomic processes in the country. Replacing national currencies in settlements, payments and savings with «hard currencies» reduces the efficiency of transmission channels, worsens volatility indicators of national currencies and strengthens the spiral of formation of negative expectations regarding inflation levels. An increase in the debt load denominated in foreign currency, in particular for individuals, creates additional risks to the monetary systems of countries. This article is devoted to the study of the problems of dollarization of the economies of the EEU member-states, of the required de-dollarization measures, as well as to the analysis of the prospects for the de-dollarization process spreading at the regional grouping level.
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