分布式发电设施与区域能源系统整合的系统效应评估

L. D. Khabachev, U. Plotkina, T. Bugaeva, A. Yurkova
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在世界上许多国家,分布式发电越来越重要。在欧盟国家,分布式发电设施的发电份额平均约为20%,其中丹麦占47%,德国占45%。这是因为当整合分布式发电设施时,在产生电能和热能的同时,还会产生额外的系统效应:减少能源传输过程中的损失,提高向消费者供应能源的可靠性,减少开发配电网所需的投资以及其他效应。本文的目的是确定分布式发电设施集成系统效应的评估方法。为了实现这一目标,采用了区域能源系统可靠性的概率经济模型和数学模型以及比较分析的方法。作为开展工作的结果,制定了评估系统影响的方法,并以俄罗斯列宁格勒地区可能将分布式发电设施纳入区域能源系统为例进行了评估。有潜力的分布式发电设施是可以改造为热电联产设施的锅炉厂。在整合分布式发电设施时,确定了系统效应:列宁格勒地区区域能源系统配电网络发展的资本投资减少37-90美元/千瓦,能源传输的运营成本减少3美元/千瓦,消费者能源供应不足造成的损失减少110美元/千瓦。这种对分布式发电设施一体化的系统影响的评估可用于区域能源系统发展的全面规划,以提高其运作效率。
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Assessment of systemic effects from integration of distributed generation facilities into regional energy systems
In many countries of the world, distributed generation takes on greater and greater importance. The share of energy generation by distributed generation facilities in the countries of the European Union averages about 20%, incl. in Denmark — 47%, Germany — 45% of all generated energy. This is due to the fact that when integrating distributed generation facilities, additional systemic effects are reached along with generation of electric and heat energy: reduction in losses during energy transmission, increase in reliability of energy supply to consumers, reduction in required investments for development of distribution networks and other effects. The purpose of this article is to determine methods of assessment of systemic effects from integration of distributed generation facilities. The probabilistic economic and mathematical model of reliability of the regional energy system and method of comparative analysis were used for achievement of this purpose. As a result of the carried-out work, methods of assessment of systemic effects were developed and assessed on the example of potential integration of distributed generation facilities into the regional energy system of the Leningrad region of Russia. The potential distributed generation facilities were boiler plants that can be reconstructed into cogeneration facilities. Systemic effects were determined when integrating distributed generation facilities: reduction in capital investments for development of distribution networks of the regional energy system of the Leningrad Region makes 37–90$/kW, reduction in operational costs for energy transmission — 3$/kW, reduction in losses from undersupply of energy at consumers — 110$/kW. Such assessment of systemic effects from integration of distributed generation facilities may be used in a comprehensive planning of development of regional energy systems in order to improve the efficiency of their operation.
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