任何季节

S. Fullerton, James H. Holcomb, T. Fullerton
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引用次数: 2

摘要

2016年国家橄榄球联盟赛季的计量经济学分析进行了关于常规赛胜利。获得的结果证实了许多假设,并与先前的一项NFL研究和早期的几项MLB计量经济学分析有很多共同之处。所使用的大多数数据都是相当对称的,标准差相对较小。评估结果验证了防御和进攻的重要性。证据表明,传球比赛更重要的进攻,而关闭运行最重要的防守。除此之外,回归方程还提供了一些关于人力资本和工资支出如何影响NFL常规赛表现的见解。一些系数和弹性的大小表明,涉及更多解释变量的进一步分析可能会更清楚地说明是什么帮助决定了NFL的成功。
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Any given season
An econometric analysis of the 2016 National Football League season is conducted with respect to regular season victories. Results obtained confirm many of the hypotheses made and bear much in common with one prior NFL study and several earlier MLB econometric analyses. Most of the data employed are fairly symmetric with relatively small standard deviations. Estimation results validate the importance of both defense and offense. Evidence is obtained that indicates that passing games are more important on offense, while shutting down the run matters most on defense. Beyond that, the regression equations also provide some insight to how human capital and payroll expenditures affect NFL regular season performances. The magnitudes of some coefficients and elasticities indicate that further analysis involving more explanatory variables can potentially provide additional clarity about what helps determine success in the NFL.
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