利用地面仪器研究巴基斯坦平流层区域臭氧层耗损的非线性动力学

Ayub KhanYousuf Zai, Asif R Khan
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引用次数: 3

摘要

平流层是大气热结构的组成部分之一。臭氧的最大浓度出现在平流层区域,在那里臭氧受到多种物质的相互作用,包括化学和物理过程。大气作为一个整体是一个开放系统,被认为是一个非线性系统,看起来很复杂。因此,非线性趋势似乎可以解释臭氧层耗竭现象。在这篇手稿中,我们注意的是基于多布森分光光度计地面测量的平流层臭氧历史数据的主要部分的分析。在本文中,我们使用多项式趋势函数估计了描述过程中非线性的参数,并计算了1960年至1999年期间的预测值。臭氧深度的未来值计算到2006年,并与数据集的一小部分进行比较
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Study of Nonlineare Dynamics of Ozone Layer Depletion for Stratospheric Region of Pakistan using Ground Based Instrumentation
The stratosphere is one of the constituents of thermal structure of the atmosphere. The maximum concentration of ozone is found at the stratospheric region where it is interacted by many species including chemical and physical processes. Atmosphere as a whole is an open system that is regarded as a non linear system and that seems to be complex. Therefore, a non-linear trend is plausible to explain phenomenon of ozone layer depletion (OLD). In this manuscript we have paid our attention is the analysis of the major portion of historic data on stratospheric O3 based on ground-based measurements by the Dobson spectrophotometer. In this communication we have estimated parameters for describing non-linearity in the process using polynomial trend functions and predicted values are calculated for the period from 1960 to 1999. Future values for ozone depths are computed till 2006 and compared with the minor portion of the data set
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