以色列和核弹

Camille Mansour
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管以色列的政策模棱两可,但它的核军事能力是公认的。这就提出了一个问题,即自20世纪50年代末以来,原子弹在以色列及其邻国之间的政治军事关系中所发挥的基本理论和作用。这篇论文表明,核弹非但没有起到威慑作用,反而变得无关紧要(充其量)或破坏稳定。以色列不愿界定其主权“避难所”的构成,再加上其发展战术核武器和反导系统的动力,导致了一种混乱的学说。文章最后主张以色列作为无核武器国家加入《核不扩散条约》(NPT),同时承认其与实现中东和平的联系。
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Israel and the bomb
In spite of its policy of ambiguity, Israel's nuclear military capability is universally admitted. This raises the question of the underlying doctrine and the function played by the bomb in the political-military relations between Israel and its neighbours since the end of the 1950s. This paper shows that instead of contributing to deterrence, the bomb has been irrelevant (at best) or destabilising. Israel's reluctance to define what constitutes its sovereign 'sanctuary', together with its drive to develop tactical nuclear weapons and an anti-missile system, has led to a confused doctrine. The paper finally argues for Tel Aviv's accession to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) as a non-nuclear weapon state, while acknowledging its linkage with the achievement of a Middle East peace.
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