失落的一代:失落的一代:西巴尔干人口危机的后果

J. Ármás
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于与欧洲趋势一致的出生率下降,西巴尔干各国正面临严重的人口危机,而主要向欧洲联盟的大量移民使情况更加恶化。自20世纪60年代末以来,来自巴尔干半岛的受过良好教育的廉价劳动力一直在西欧国家担任客工,这一传统一直延续至今,甚至在那时得到了加强。人口的外流,特别是年轻和熟练工人的外流,已经导致该区域劳动力短缺,这阻碍了对发展至关重要的外国直接投资的流入。本文概述了当前的人口趋势,得出结论:西巴尔干地区的人口危机是不可逆转的;政府未能提供足够的激励措施来提高出生率,而劳动力和人才外流却在增加。
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Lost Generations Losing Generation: the Consequences of the Demographic Crisis in the Western Balkans
The countries of the Western Balkans are facing a serious demographic crisis due to a declining birth rate that is in line with European trends, and the situation is exacerbated by high levels of migration, mainly towards the European Union. A cheap, well-educated labour force from the Balkans has been working as guest workers in Western European countries since the late 1960s, a tradition that has continued and even intensified since then. The exodus of the population, especially young and skilled workers, is already leading to labour shortages in the region, which discourages the inflow of FDI that would be essential for development. Outlining the current demographic trends, this paper concludes that the demographic crisis in the Western Balkans is irreversible; governments are failing to provide adequate incentives to increase birth rates, while labour and brain drain increases.
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