妥协,不要优化:推广完美的贝叶斯均衡以允许歧义

K. Schlag, Andriy Zapechelnyuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们为不完全信息的广泛形式游戏引入了一个解决方案概念,在这种游戏中,玩家不需要为他们不知道的游戏分配可能性。这是嵌入在玩家可以拥有多个先验的模型中。玩家通过寻找折衷方案来做出选择,从而在每个更新的先验条件下产生良好的表现。我们的解的概念叫做完全妥协均衡。它推广了完美贝叶斯均衡。我们展示了它如何处理古诺和贝特朗市场的模糊性、公共产品供应、斯宾塞的就业市场信号、具有共同价值的双边贸易和预测。
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Compromise, Don't Optimize: Generalizing Perfect Bayesian Equilibrium to Allow for Ambiguity
We introduce a solution concept for extensive-form games of incomplete information in which players need not assign likelihoods to what they do not know about the game. This is embedded in a model in which players can hold multiple priors. Players make choices by looking for compromises that yield a good performance under each of their updated priors. Our solution concept is called perfect compromise equilibrium. It generalizes perfect Bayesian equilibrium. We show how it deals with ambiguity in Cournot and Bertrand markets, public good provision, Spence's job market signaling, bilateral trade with common value, and forecasting.
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