可再生能源技术的选择及其对发展中国家的成本影响:以南非为例

S. Pillay, J. Pretorius, D. de Canha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

现在,可再生能源技术比以往任何时候都更成为改善非洲大陆能源可及性的关键因素。已出版的著作以发展中国家南非为重点,指出了选择可再生能源技术的大约13个标准。审议了制定的标准以及如何从技术、经济、社会、环境和政治立场使用这些标准。本文试图借助层次分析法(AHP)和已建立的决策模型,提出一种合理选择技术的方法。这些技术是按照南非能源项目的优先顺序排列的。利用陆上风能、太阳能光伏、聚光光热、生物质能和小型水力替代能源的案例研究信息,应用决策模型对其进行排序和优先排序。决策模型的总体结果确定太阳能是最适合南非的,应该在长期政策和能源路线图中加以发展。
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The selection of renewable energy technologies and their cost implications for a developing country: The case of South Africa
Now more than ever, renewable energy technologies have become a key player in improving accessibility to energy on the African continent. Focusing on the developing nation of South Africa, published works have indicated approximately thirteen criteria for selecting renewable energy technologies. Consideration was given to developed criteria and how they were used from technical, economic, social, environmental and political stances. The aid of analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and an established decision-model the author endeavored to substantiate a method of selecting appropriate technologies. These technologies were ranked in order of priority using South African energy projects. Case study information for onshore wind, solar photo-voltaic, concentrated solar thermal, biomass and small hydro energy alternatives were used to apply the decision-model for their ranking and prioritizing. The overall outcome of the decision-model identified that solar energy is the most suitable for South Africa and should be developed for long-term policy and energy roadmaps.
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