开放还是封闭?名单类型如何影响选举表现、候选人选择和竞选努力

Dominik Hangartner, Nelson A. Ruiz, Janne Tukiainen
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在比例代表选举中使用开放(相对于封闭)名单对政党表现和候选人选择质量有什么影响?我们通过研究哥伦比亚的地方选举提供了新的证据,在那里,政党可以自行决定使用开放或封闭名单。利用2003年至2015年期间覆盖1,100个哥伦比亚城市的面板数据,我们利用政党内部、城市内部和随时间变化来确定投票结构的影响。我们发现开放式名单的采用大大增加了各方的选票和席位份额。对具有代表性的候选人样本进行的半结构化访谈显示,使用封闭名单的政党难以吸引高质量的候选人并激励他们参加竞选。与这些机制一致,我们的统计分析证实,公开名单候选人更有经验,更参与他们的选区和竞选活动,过去不太可能犯下选举欺诈行为。
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Open or Closed? How List Type Affects Electoral Performance, Candidate Selection, and Campaign Effort
What effect does using open (as opposed to closed) lists in proportional representation elections have on party performance and the quality of candidate selection? We provide novel evidence by studying local elections in Colombia, where parties have discretion to field either open or closed lists. Using panel data covering the 1,100 Colombian municipalities for the 2003–2015 period, we leverage within-party, within-municipality, and over-time variation to identify the effect of ballot structure. We find that the adoption of open list dramatically increases parties’ vote and seat shares. Semi-structured interviews with a representative sample of candidates reveal that parties that use closed list struggle to attract high-quality candidates and to incentivize them to campaign. Consistent with these mechanisms, our statistical analyses confirm that open-list candidates are more experienced, more engaged in their constituencies and campaigns, and less likely to have committed election fraud in the past.
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