非常规货币政策冲击的公告分解及其影响

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引用次数: 2

摘要

我建议利用日内数据的异方差来确定资产价格变化对货币政策冲击的具体分解,同时适应公告中冲击性质和经济状况的变化。我计算了1996年1月至2019年12月期间联邦基金、前瞻指引、资产购买和美联储信息冲击的分解。这些分解说明了哪些非常规政策措施在大衰退期间产生了重大影响。总体而言,前瞻指引和资产购买对收益率、息差、股票和不确定性有显著影响,但货币政策的影响随时间而变化,尤其是资产购买。
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Announcement-Specific Decompositions of Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks and Their Effects
I propose to identify announcement-specific decompositions of asset price changes into monetary policy shocks exploiting heteroskedasticity in intraday data, accommodating both changes in the nature of shocks and the state of the economy across announcements. I compute decompositions with respect to Fed Funds, forward guidance, asset purchase, and Fed information shocks from January 1996 to December 2019. The decompositions illustrate which announcements of unconventional policy measures had significant effects during the Great Recession. Overall, forward guidance and asset purchases have significant effects on yields, spreads, equities, and uncertainty, but the effects of monetary policy vary over time, particularly asset purchases.
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