货币政策冲击对商品价格的影响

Alessio Anzuini, Marco J. Lombardi, P. Pagano
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引用次数: 322

摘要

全球货币状况经常被认为是大宗商品价格的驱动因素。本文通过标准VAR系统(通常用于分析货币政策冲击的影响)来研究美国货币政策与商品价格之间的实证关系。结果表明,扩张性的美国货币政策冲击推高了广泛的大宗商品价格指数及其所有组成部分。虽然这些影响是显著的,但它们似乎并不是压倒性的大。这一发现在不同的货币政策冲击识别策略下得到了证实。
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The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Commodity Prices
Global monetary conditions are often cited as a driver of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The results suggest that expansionary US monetary policy shocks drive up the broad commodity price index and all of its components. While these effects are significant, they do not, however, appear to be overwhelmingly large. This finding is confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock.
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