工作中的奖金诱饵2.0:框架等价是否复制了彩票风险选择中的不对称优势效应?

Holger M. Müller, Toni Richter, Horst Gischer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1992年,Simonson和Tversky引入了“奖品诱饵不对称优势效应”,通过引入奖品诱饵C(一支不太吸引人的钢笔),可以将竞争中可赢得的两个非主导选项(即奖品a(6美元现金奖励)和奖品B(一支吸引人的钢笔)之间的偏好转移到目标奖品B,奖品C(一支不太吸引人的钢笔)由B主导,而不是由a主导。本文研究了当诱饵效应转移到二元彩票的风险选择领域时,诱饵效应是否仍然是一种稳健的行为模式。复制证实了大量的诱饵效应,在选择总数中占13%。此外,检测到的效果是双向的。通过进一步讨论框架等价的一般需求和复制研究实验设计参数的重要性(例如,真实选择,权衡一致性),本工作提供了新的见解,进一步激发了关于(a)在最近的研究中复制诱饵效应的失败尝试和(b)稳健性和背景效应的驱动因素(调节者,中介者)的辩论。
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Prize Decoys at Work 2.0: Does Frame Equivalence Replicate Asymmetric Dominance Effects in Risky Choices on Lotteries?
In 1992, Simonson and Tversky introduced the “prize decoy asymmetric dominance effect” by showing that preferences between two non-dominated options winnable in a competition, namely prize A (a $6 cash payoff) and prize B (an attractive pen), can be shifted toward the target prize B by introducing a prize decoy C (a less attractive pen) which is dominated by B, but not by A. In a controlled conceptual replication that keeps the initial experimental frame equivalent to the original study, it is examined whether the decoy effect remains a robust behavioral pattern when it is transferred to the domain of risky choices in terms of binary lotteries. The replication confirms a substantial decoy effect which amounts to 13 % in the aggregate of choices. Moreover, the detected effect works in a bidirectional way. By further discussing the general need for frame equivalence and the importance of parameters of experimental designs of replication studies (e.g., real choices, tradeoff conformance) the present work provides new insights further stimulating the debate on (a) failed attempts to replicate decoy effects in recent studies and (b) the robustness and the drivers (moderators, mediators) of context effects.
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