基于贝叶斯方法的零膨胀计数回归模型的乳腺x线筛查贡献者

Behrooz Kavehie, T. F. Harandi, M. Rahimzadeh
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摘要

背景:乳房x光检查是早期诊断无症状妇女乳腺癌的一种有价值的工具。考虑到伊朗女性乳腺癌的高患病率和乳房x光检查计划的低参与率,本研究的目的是使用零-来调查影响40岁以上女性乳房x光检查频率的因素。方法:本研究采用问卷调查的方式,通过访谈获取女性一生中乳房x光检查次数、人口学特征、行为危险因素等所需信息。为探讨影响乳房x线检查的因素,采用Win Bugs软件建立零膨胀泊松回归模型。结果:参与研究的女性平均(SD)年龄为49.87岁(6.76岁)。77%的参与者从未做过乳房x光检查,8.9%做过一次,6.9%做过两次,6.7%做过三次,0.5%做过三次以上。在至少做过一次乳房x光检查的女性中,年龄对乳房x光检查的次数有积极影响。有癌症和乳腺癌家族史,中等经济地位相对于低经济地位,较高教育程度相对于低教育程度和更年期的女性从未做过乳房x光检查的几率较低。结论:鉴于女性乳房x光检查的参与率相对较低,需要更多的设施来帮助高风险女性(40-70岁)进行诊断。
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Contributors of Mammography Screening with Zero-Inflated Count Regression Models by Bayesian Approach
Background: Mammography is a valuable tool for early diagnosis of breast cancer in asymptomatic women. Considering the high prevalence of breast cancer in Iranian women and the low participation in mammography screening program, the purpose of this study was to investigate the factors affecting frequency of mammography screening in women over 40 years of age using zero-. Methods: In this study, the required information about number of performing mammography in women’s’ lifetime, demographic characteristics and behavioral risk factors were obtained through interview based on a researcher-made questionnaire. To investigate the factors affecting mammography, zero inflation Poisson regression models were performed using Win Bugs software. Results: The mean (SD) age of women participating in this study was 49.87 (6.76). 77% of the participants have never undergone mammography, 8.9% once, 6.9% twice, 6.7% three times, and 0.5% more than three times. Age had a positive effect on the number of mammograms in the women who have perform mammograms at least once. Having a family history of cancer and breast cancer, middle compared to low economic status, higher compared to low education and menopause were significantly associated with lower probability of never performing mammography. Conclusion: Given the relatively low participation of women in mammography, more facilities are needed for high risk women (aged 40-70) to facilitate the diagnosis process.
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