军事开支对尼日利亚经济福祉的影响

Michael A. Akume, Gylych Jelilov, B. Akanegbu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

军事开支对国内产出的影响是有争议的,因此需要对每个国家进行进一步分析,以确定其重要程度。尼日利亚对西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)次区域的军事贡献,以及最近各种叛乱活动的兴起,特别是Jam??在Ahl al-Sunna il- da ?awah wa al-Jih?博科圣地——可以说是最致命的叛乱组织——增加了尼日利亚的军事开支。本研究使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验方法调查了1988年至2017年期间军事开支增加对尼日利亚人经济福祉(以人均GDP衡量)的影响。结果表明,在尼日利亚,军事开支和经济福利之间存在正相关关系。然而,对公民福祉的影响不是即时的,因为变量只有在当年支出之后才显着;这种情况不会持续超过一年。因此,该研究建议,国防开支应该是战略性的,所有用于国防的专项资金都应该得到适当的部署,这样福利的增加才能更加长期,而不是仅仅持续一年。
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The Impact of Military Spending on Economic Wellbeing in Nigeria
The impact of military spending on domestic output is contentious and therefore requires further analysis on a country by country basis to determine its level of significance. Nigeria’s military contributions to the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) sub-region and the recent rise of various insurgencies, particularly, Jam??at Ahl al-Sunna lil-Da?awah wa al-Jih?d’ (Boko Haram) – arguably the most fatal insurgent group – has increased Nigeria’s military expenditure. This study investigates the impact of this increase in military spending on the economic well-being (measured by GDP per capita) of Nigerians using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to co-integration for the period from 1988 to 2017. The results suggest that there is a positive relationship between military spending and economic well-being in Nigeria. However, the impact on citizens’ wellbeing is not instantaneous as the variable is only significant after the current year spending; which does not last longer than a year. The study therefore recommends that defense spending be strategic, and that all earmarked funds for defense be deployed appropriately so that increases in wellbeing can be more long-term as opposed to lasting for only one year.
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