算法交易的深度学习:增强MACD策略

Y. Lei, Qinke Peng, Yiqing Shen
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引用次数: 9

摘要

交易自动化一直受到金融研究领域的广泛关注。作为最受交易者欢迎的技术指标之一,在不稳定的金融市场中,移动平均趋同背离(MACD)指标有时表现得比预期的要差。在本文中,我们使用残差网络来提高传统交易MACD算法在技术分析中的有效性。我们研究背后的基本原理是,深度学习网络可以学习市场行为,并能够估计一个给定的交易点是否更有可能成功。我们在中国市场上证300指数成分股上验证了基于残差网络预测与技术分析相结合的策略(MACD-KURT),结果表明,残差网络预测与技术分析相结合的策略无论在策略收益还是风险控制方面都优于单独基于技术分析的策略。
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Deep Learning for Algorithmic Trading: Enhancing MACD Strategy
Transaction automation has always received widespread attention in the field of financial research. As one of the most popular technical indicators of traders, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence(MACD) indicator sometimes performs worse than expected in unstable financial markets. In this paper, we use Residual Networks to improve the effectiveness of traditional trading MACD algorithm in technical analysis. The rationale behind our research is that deep learning networks can learn market behavior and be able to estimate whether a given trading point is more likely to succeed. We verify our strategy (MACD-KURT) which is based on the combination of Residual Networks prediction and technical analysis on CSI300 index constituent stocks in the Chinese market, and the results show that the strategy based on the combination of Residual Networks prediction and technical analysis is better than the one based on technical analysis alone, ether in strategy's return or risk control.
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