冠状病毒大流行的两大挑战:死亡率下降和向可持续的社会和经济增长过渡

A. Aganbegyan
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引用次数: 9

摘要

正在审议的是俄罗斯社会经济发展的两个主要挑战- -一方面是减少灾难性的高死亡率和恢复人民的安全,另一方面是从停滞和危机过渡到可持续的社会经济增长,作为拯救人民和提高其福利的手段。从这个角度出发,分析了新俄罗斯经济和社会领域30年的发展道路,突出了过去十年的停滞和危机。这篇文章的第二部分证实了有必要过渡到一种新的人口和社会经济政策,其目的是改变经济和社会领域,这对于加速和高质量的经济增长、克服我国与世界先进国家之间的差距和优先提高人民的生活水平是必要的。这就要求我国国民经济进行技术改造,经济效率提高2-3倍。这可以通过加速增加对固定资本和人力资本的投资来实现,同时进行必要的结构改革,以便沿着创新的道路为可持续发展创造有利条件。
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Two challenges of coronavirus pandemic: decline in mortality and transitioning to sustainable social and economic growth
Under consideration are the two main challenges for the socio-economic development of Russia – the reduction of catastrophically high mortality and the restoration of the safety of the people, on the one hand, and the transition from stagnation and crisis to sustainable socio-economic growth as a means of saving the people and raising their well-being. From this point of view, the 30-year path of development of the economy and social sphere of the new Russia is analyzed, highlighting the last decade of stagnation and crisis. The second part of the article substantiates the need for a transition to a new demographic and socio-economic policy aimed at transforming the economy and the social sphere, which is necessary for accelerated and high-quality economic growth, overcoming the gap between our country and the advanced countries of the world and priority increase in the living standards of the population. This requires a technological reequipment of the country's national economy with an increase in economic efficiency by 2-3 times. This can be achieved through the accelerated growth of investment in fixed and human capital while carrying out the necessary structural reforms to create favorable conditions for sustainable development along an innovative path.
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