乐观现实主义胜过选择主义

Seungbae Park
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引用次数: 7

摘要

摘要选择主义认为,大多数现有理论的某些理论内容将在未来的理论中保留下来。相比之下,乐观现实主义认为,大多数现有理论的大部分理论内容将在未来的理论中得到保留。我对选择主义者构建悲观归纳法以削弱选择主义,对乐观现实主义者构建乐观归纳法以支持乐观现实主义。前者认为,既然20世纪初的选择主义者对他们目前的理论过于谨慎,那么21世纪初的选择主义者对他们目前的理论也过于谨慎。后者认为,既然20世纪初的乐观现实主义者对他们目前的理论是正确的,那么21世纪初的乐观现实主义者对他们目前的理论也是正确的
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Optimistic Realism over Selectivism
Abstract Selectivism holds that some theoretical contents of most present theories will be preserved in future theories. By contrast, optimistic realism holds that most theoretical contents of most present theories will be preserved in future theories. I construct a pessimistic induction over selectivists to undermine selectivism, and an optimistic induction over optimistic realists to support optimistic realism. The former holds that since the selectivists of the early twentieth century were overly cautious about their present theories, those of the early twenty-first century are also overly cautious about their present theories. The latter holds that since the optimistic realists of the early twentieth century were right about their present theories, those of the early twentyfirst century are also right about their present theories
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