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引用次数: 5

摘要

在全球变暖的背景下,许多国家都在努力减少温室气体排放。在这种情况下,我们可以将其作为一种替代指标。这些指数(HDI、HPI、EPI)是以国内生产总值(GDP)为基础的生态学指标。一个变异的线性抛物线指数、一个皮尔森相关指数和一个相关矩阵指数都会影响指数的变化。在所有变量中,GDP(国内生产总值)和 HPI(居民消费价格指数)都是最重要的变量,而 EPI(居民消费价格指数)则是最次要的变量。对不同层次的数据进行分析。我们的研究对象是拉丁美洲和加勒比海地区的研究人员。------------------------------------------------------- 我们的研究目标是探讨应用替代性综合指标的可能性和局限性。我们的研究重点是这些指标之间存在何种关系;它们在多大程度上可以替代国内生产总值,以及可以为匈牙利指出何种道德标准。我们研究的基本问题是,如何根据替代指标的数值对国家进行明确分组。在这项研究中,我们考察了三个综合指标(HDI、HPI、EPI)以及生态足迹和 GDP 趋势。在研究的第一阶段,我们发现这些指标可以成对地观察到线性关系;相关矩阵中显示了皮尔逊相关指数值。根据我们的分析,这两个指标相互独立,也独立于 GDP,它们是 HPI 和 EPI。采用聚类分析对国家进行分类。根据三个聚类模型,确定了拉丁美洲的具体发展道路,这对匈牙利来说是一个有益的经验。
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AZ ÖKOLÁBNYOM ÉS EGYÉB FENNTARTHATÓSÁGI INDIKÁTOROK MÉRÉSI TARTOMÁNYÁNAK ÉRTELMEZÉSE
Kutatasunk celkitűzese az alternativ kompozit indikatorok alkalmazasi lehetősegeinek es ezek hatarainak vizsgalata. Milyen kapcsolatban vannak egymassal es mennyiben kepesek helyettesiteni a GDP-t, milyen tanulsagok fogalmazhatoak meg. Kutatasunk alapkerdese, hogy lehetseges-e az orszagokat egyertelműen csoportositani az alternativ indikatorok ertekei alapjan. Jelenlegi tanulmanyunkban harom kompozit indikator (HDI, HPI, EPI) es az okologiai labnyom, valamint a GDP alakulasat vizsgaltuk. A mutatok kozott paronkenti linearis kapcsolatot tartunk fel, a Pearson-fele korrelacios index ertekeit korrelacios matrixban tuntettuk fel. Elemzesunk alapjan ket olyan mutato van, amely egymastol es a GDP-től is fuggetlen, a HPI es az EPI. Az orszagok csoportba sorolasat klaszter analizis segitsegevel vegeztuk. A letrehozott haromklaszteres modell elemzese alapjan meghataroztunk egy sajatos latin-amerikai fejlődesi utat es ennek hasznosithato tapasztalatait Magyarorszag szamara. ------------------------------------------------------- The target of our study is to examine the possibilities as well as the limitations of the application alternative composite indicators. Our study focuses on what kind of relations the indicators are in; to what extent they can substitute the GDP and what kind of morals can be indicated for Hungary. The basic question of our research is how possible is to group countries clearly based on the values of alternative indicators. In this study three composite indicators (HDI, HPI, EPI) and the ecological footprint and GDP trends were examined. In the first phase of our research, we revealed that these indicators could be observed in pairs to linear relationship; the Pearson’s correlation index values are shown in the correlation matrix. Based on our analysis, these two indicators are independent from each other and also independent from the GDP; these are the HPI and the EPI. The classification of countries was performed using cluster analysis. Based on the three-cluster model, a specific path of development was determined in Latin America, which proves a useful experience for Hungary.
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