鄂毕河径流形成的气候因子时空分析

A. Bulavina
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摘要

分析了气候因素对鄂毕河流量波动的影响。通过对黄河年、季径流长期序列和微分积分曲线的分析,揭示了黄河流量的变化阶段。研究了不同含水率时期降水和气温变化的空间特征。通过对地图图像进行数学和统计处理,可以确定各种气候因素对河流量有主要影响的地区。确定了1930-2017年气候波动对鄂毕河流量变化影响最大的流域区域。其中一个地区局限于Tobol河流域,另一个地区毗邻Ob和Yenisei流域。结果表明,冬季径流量的增加主要是由于降水和气温的波动。不可能完全排除冻土退化对Ob径流量的影响,但很明显,这个因素并不显著。
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Spatio-temporal analysis of climatic factors of the Ob River runoff formation
The analysis of the influence of climatic factors on fluctuations in the flow of the Ob River is carried out. Based on the analysis of long-term series of annual and seasonal runoff of the Ob and differential integral curves, the phases of change in river flow ar e revealed. Spatial features of changes in precipitation and air temperature in different periods of water content have been studied. Mathematical and statistical processing of cartographic images made it possible to identify areas of the predominant influence of various climatic factors on the volume of river flow. The areas of the basin where climatic fluctuations had the greatest impact on the change in the Ob River flow in 1930–2017 have been identified. One of these areas is confined to the basin of the Tobol River, the second is adjacent to the Ob and Yenisei watershed. It is shown that the increase in winter water runoff is largely due to fluctuations in precipitation and air temperature. It is impossible to completely exclude the impact of permafrost degradation on the volume of Ob runoff, but it is obvious this factor is not significant.
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