注射或感染:默认效应、预期后悔和决策角色如何预测疫苗接种意愿

Imke van der Loo, M. Stroom
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摘要

世界卫生组织将疫苗犹豫定义为当今全球健康的十大威胁之一。本研究旨在对默认效应、预期后悔和决策角色对疫苗接种意愿的影响有新的认识,以帮助寻找疫苗犹豫的解决方案。在一项在线研究中,187名参与者(70.0%为女性,87.7%为荷兰人,79.7%为受过高等教育的人)接受了有关结肠癌和可能的疫苗的信息。结果表明,与对照组相比,将疫苗接种作为默认选项(即疫苗接种是表格中的标准选项)并不影响疫苗摄取。然而,人们对副作用和结肠癌的预期后悔经历对疫苗接种意愿有显著的预测作用(B = -0.36, p = 0.00;B = 0.16, p = 0.03)。此外,人们宁愿自己接种疫苗,也不愿给孩子接种(B = -0.61, p= 0.01)。这种相关性似乎是由预期后悔介导的:对于孩子来说,预期副作用和结肠癌的后悔水平高于自我决定(p = 0.00和p = 0.01)。最后,性别和对他人的信仰承担风险的意愿也显示出与疫苗接种意愿显著相关的相关性。这些结果表明,预期的后悔解释了为什么人们宁愿给自己而不是孩子接种疫苗,而且默认效应不能改变接种意愿。由于学术和社会的重要性,应该做更多的研究来填补与疫苗犹豫有关的知识空白。
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Inject or Infect: How Do the Default Effect, Anticipated Regret, and Decision Roles Predict Vaccination Willingness
The WHO defines vaccine hesitancy as one of the ten biggest threats to global health nowadays. To contribute to finding a solution for vaccine hesitancy, this study aims at gaining new insights on the influence of the default effect, anticipated regret, and decision roles on vaccination willingness. In an online study, a sample of 187 participants (70.0% female, 87.7% Dutch, 79.7% high-educated) receives information concerning colon cancer and a possible vaccine. The results show that presenting vaccination as a default option (i.e. vaccination is the standard in the form) does not influence the vaccine uptake compared to a control group. The anticipated regret people indicate to experience for getting side-effects and colon cancer, however, does significantly predict vaccination willingness (B = -0.36, p = 0.00; B = 0.16, p = 0.03, respectively). Furthermore, people rather vaccinate themselves than their child (B = -0.61, p= 0.01). This correlation appears to be mediated by anticipated regret: the levels of anticipated regret for getting side-effects and colon cancer are higher for the child than the self-decision (p = 0.00 and p = 0.01, respectively). Finally, gender and willingness to take risks towards faith in others also show a significant and relevant correlation with vaccination willingness. These results suggest that anticipated regret explains why people rather vaccinate themselves than their children and that the default effect cannot change vaccination willingness. Due to academic and societal importance, more research should be done to fill the gaps in knowledge related to vaccine hesitancy.
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