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Inject or Infect: How Do the Default Effect, Anticipated Regret, and Decision Roles Predict Vaccination Willingness 注射或感染:默认效应、预期后悔和决策角色如何预测疫苗接种意愿
Pub Date : 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3927103
Imke van der Loo, M. Stroom
The WHO defines vaccine hesitancy as one of the ten biggest threats to global health nowadays. To contribute to finding a solution for vaccine hesitancy, this study aims at gaining new insights on the influence of the default effect, anticipated regret, and decision roles on vaccination willingness. In an online study, a sample of 187 participants (70.0% female, 87.7% Dutch, 79.7% high-educated) receives information concerning colon cancer and a possible vaccine. The results show that presenting vaccination as a default option (i.e. vaccination is the standard in the form) does not influence the vaccine uptake compared to a control group. The anticipated regret people indicate to experience for getting side-effects and colon cancer, however, does significantly predict vaccination willingness (B = -0.36, p = 0.00; B = 0.16, p = 0.03, respectively). Furthermore, people rather vaccinate themselves than their child (B = -0.61, p= 0.01). This correlation appears to be mediated by anticipated regret: the levels of anticipated regret for getting side-effects and colon cancer are higher for the child than the self-decision (p = 0.00 and p = 0.01, respectively). Finally, gender and willingness to take risks towards faith in others also show a significant and relevant correlation with vaccination willingness. These results suggest that anticipated regret explains why people rather vaccinate themselves than their children and that the default effect cannot change vaccination willingness. Due to academic and societal importance, more research should be done to fill the gaps in knowledge related to vaccine hesitancy.
世界卫生组织将疫苗犹豫定义为当今全球健康的十大威胁之一。本研究旨在对默认效应、预期后悔和决策角色对疫苗接种意愿的影响有新的认识,以帮助寻找疫苗犹豫的解决方案。在一项在线研究中,187名参与者(70.0%为女性,87.7%为荷兰人,79.7%为受过高等教育的人)接受了有关结肠癌和可能的疫苗的信息。结果表明,与对照组相比,将疫苗接种作为默认选项(即疫苗接种是表格中的标准选项)并不影响疫苗摄取。然而,人们对副作用和结肠癌的预期后悔经历对疫苗接种意愿有显著的预测作用(B = -0.36, p = 0.00;B = 0.16, p = 0.03)。此外,人们宁愿自己接种疫苗,也不愿给孩子接种(B = -0.61, p= 0.01)。这种相关性似乎是由预期后悔介导的:对于孩子来说,预期副作用和结肠癌的后悔水平高于自我决定(p = 0.00和p = 0.01)。最后,性别和对他人的信仰承担风险的意愿也显示出与疫苗接种意愿显著相关的相关性。这些结果表明,预期的后悔解释了为什么人们宁愿给自己而不是孩子接种疫苗,而且默认效应不能改变接种意愿。由于学术和社会的重要性,应该做更多的研究来填补与疫苗犹豫有关的知识空白。
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引用次数: 0
Deterrence of Orchestrated Cheating: Group versus Individual Punishment 预谋作弊的威慑:群体惩罚与个人惩罚
Pub Date : 2019-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3459036
Shmuel Leshem, Abraham L. Wickelgren
In the wake of a state-sponsored doping scandal, the World Anti-Doping Agency reommended banning all Russian athletes from the Rio Olympic Games. We study the circumstances in which such group penalties deter a group leader, whose payoff is tied to the group's benefits and sanctions, from helping cheating group members avoid detection. We show that relative to individual punishment, group punishment deters orchestrated cheating and thereby increases individual deterrence for su¢ ciently strong enforcement and a bounded detection-avoidance technology. Otherwise, group punishment fosters individual cheating. Group punishment is thus a double-edged sword useful primarily as an off-equilibrium threat against orchestrated cheating but detrimental if frequently imposed on the equilibrium path.
在国家支持的兴奋剂丑闻之后,世界反兴奋剂机构建议禁止所有俄罗斯运动员参加里约奥运会。我们研究了这样一种情况,在这种情况下,这种群体惩罚会阻止一个群体的领导者帮助作弊的群体成员避免被发现,他的报酬与群体的利益和制裁挂钩。我们表明,相对于个人惩罚,群体惩罚阻止了精心策划的作弊,从而增加了足够强的执法和有限的检测-回避技术的个人威慑。否则,集体惩罚会助长个人作弊。因此,群体惩罚是一把双刃剑,主要是作为对精心策划的作弊行为的非平衡威胁,但如果经常强加于平衡路径,则是有害的。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Government Spending Efficiency on Health and Education in Decentralization Era: Evidence from Indonesia 分权时代地区政府在卫生和教育方面的支出效率:来自印度尼西亚的证据
Pub Date : 2019-09-08 DOI: 10.31092/jia.v3i1.452
Azwar Iskandar, Rahmaluddin Saragih
The purpose of this paper is to assess spending efficiency of regional governments in Indonesia on health and education during the fiscal decentralization period year of 2010-2017. Relying on a sample of 33 provinces as regional government, this paper compute efficiency scores adopting nonparametric frontier that estimated by Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to study spending inefficiency. Results of the paper show that in west regions, Bali, Bangka Belitung, DI Yogyakarta, Jawa Tengah, and Kep. Riau relatively most efficient in public spending both on health and education in period of study. DKI Jakarta and Jawa Barat have efficient score on health, and Bengkulu has efficient score on education. On the other hand, in east regions, Gorontalo, Kalimantan Tengah, Kalimantan Timur and Sulawesi Utara were also most efficient in public spending on health and education services. Maluku and Sulawesi Tenggara have efficient score on health, and Kalimantan Selatan, Maluku Utara, Nusa Tenggara Barat, and Sulawesi Barat have efficient score on education. The results show that provinces in east regions of Indonesia were relatively more efficient in public spending both on health and education for promoting equal distribution of income
本文的目的是评估2010-2017年财政分权期间印度尼西亚地区政府在卫生和教育方面的支出效率。本文以33个省份作为地方政府为样本,采用数据包络分析(DEA)估计的非参数边界计算效率得分,研究政府支出效率低下问题。研究结果表明,西部地区以巴厘、邦加勿里洞、日惹、爪哇登加和keep为主。在研究期间,廖内省在卫生和教育方面的公共开支相对最有效。DKI雅加达和贾瓦巴拉特在健康方面得分有效,而明库鲁在教育方面得分有效。另一方面,在东部地区,哥伦塔洛、加里曼丹登加、加里曼丹铁木尔和北苏拉威西在卫生和教育服务方面的公共支出效率最高。马鲁古和苏拉威西登加拉在健康方面有有效得分,加里曼丹西拉丹、马鲁古北加拉、努沙登加拉巴拉特和苏拉威西巴拉特在教育方面有有效得分。结果表明,印度尼西亚东部地区的省份在促进收入公平分配的卫生和教育方面的公共支出相对效率更高
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引用次数: 0
Benefit-Cost Analysis in Global Health 全球卫生的效益-成本分析
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2952014
L. Robinson, J. Hammitt
Decisions on investing in health as well as other policies require deciding how to best allocate available resources - recognizing that using labor, materials, and other resources for one purpose means that they cannot be used for other purposes. Approaches for economic evaluation, including cost-effectiveness analysis and benefit-cost analysis, have in common the overarching goal of providing information on policy impacts, so as to provide an evidence-base for decisions. What distinguishes benefit-cost analysis is its emphasis on explicitly accounting for all significant outcomes (both health and non-health) and on valuing them in monetary units to facilitate comparison. Benefit-cost analysis makes the relative values of different outcomes explicit. As conventionally implemented, benefit-cost analysis does not address the distribution of impacts within a population, but it can be supplemented to do so.
关于卫生投资以及其他政策的决定需要决定如何最好地分配现有资源——认识到为一个目的使用劳动力、材料和其他资源意味着不能将其用于其他目的。经济评价方法,包括成本效益分析和效益成本分析,都有一个共同的总目标,即提供关于政策影响的资料,以便为决策提供证据基础。效益-成本分析的不同之处在于,它强调明确计算所有重要结果(包括健康和非健康),并以货币单位对其进行评估,以便进行比较。效益-成本分析使不同结果的相对价值明确。按照惯例,效益-成本分析不处理人口内影响的分布情况,但可以加以补充。
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引用次数: 6
Leveraging Social Protection Programs for Improved Nutrition: Summary of Evidence Prepared for the Global Forum on Nutrition-Sensitive Social Protection Programs, 2015 利用社会保护计划改善营养:为2015年营养敏感型社会保护计划全球论坛准备的证据摘要
Pub Date : 2016-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2831575
H. Alderman
The global forum on nutrition-sensitive social protection programs, convened by securenutrition and the Russian Federation, brought together 150 donors, implementers, and country leaders to identify practical ways to link the nutrition and social protection agendas. This paper served as a springboard for discussion at the global forum, and represents a synthesis of evidence from nearly 120 references with a heavy focus on program evaluations. The reach of social protection programs has grown extensively since the 1980s. Recent World Bank estimates show 64 countries running conditional cash transfers as opposed to only two in 1997 and the rapid doubling of countries in Africa implementing unconditional cash transfers - from 20 to 40 in just the last five years. This paper finds that social protection transfers tend to increase household budget devoted to food - often more than other income sources - and highlights evidence that transfers can change diet composition and quality. At the same time, the overall effects of income on nutrition outcomes are not clear and vary by country experience and across studies. Evidence indicates that knowledge of proper hygiene and feeding practices does not necessarily increase alongside purchasing power, hence the rationale to specifically encourage or program behavioral change communication.
由安全营养和俄罗斯联邦召集的营养敏感型社会保护计划全球论坛汇集了150名捐助者、实施者和国家领导人,以确定将营养和社会保护议程联系起来的切实可行的方法。本文作为全球论坛讨论的跳板,代表了来自近120个参考文献的综合证据,重点关注项目评估。自20世纪80年代以来,社会保障项目的覆盖范围广泛扩大。世界银行最近的估计显示,有条件现金转移支付的国家从1997年的两个增加到64个,非洲实施无条件现金转移支付的国家迅速增加了一倍,在过去五年中从20个增加到40个。本文发现,社会保护转移支付往往会增加家庭用于食品的预算——往往超过其他收入来源——并强调了转移支付可以改变饮食组成和质量的证据。与此同时,收入对营养结果的总体影响尚不明确,并因国家经验和不同研究而异。有证据表明,正确的卫生知识和喂养习惯并不一定会随着购买力的增加而增加,因此,有必要特别鼓励或规划行为改变沟通。
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引用次数: 27
Governance in Health – The Need for Exchange and Evidence; Comment on 'Governance, Government, and the Search for New Provider Models' 卫生治理——交流和证据的必要性;对“治理、政府和寻找新的供应商模式”的评论
Pub Date : 2016-05-17 DOI: 10.15171/ijhpm.2016.60
Tata Chanturidze, K. Obermann
Governance in health is cited as one of the key factors in balancing the concerns of the government and public sector with the interests of civil society/private players, but often remains poorly described and operationalized. Richard Saltman and Antonio Duran look at two aspects in the search for new provider models in a context of health markets signalling liberalisation: (i) the role of the government to balance public and private interests and responsibilities in delivering care through modernised governance arrangements, and (ii) the finding that operational complexities may hinder well-designed provider governance models, unless governance reflects country-specific realities. This commentary builds on the discussion by Saltman and Duran, and argues that the concept of governance needs to be clearly defined and operationalized in order to be helpful for policy debate as well as for the development of an applicable framework for performance improvement. It provides a working definition of governance and includes a reflection on the prevailing cultural norms in an organization or society upon which any governance needs to be build. It proposes to explore whether the "evidence-based governance" concept can be introduced to generate knowledge about innovative and effective governance models, and concludes that studies similar to the one by Saltman and Duran can inform this debate.
卫生治理被认为是平衡政府和公共部门的关切与民间社会/私营参与者的利益的关键因素之一,但往往仍然缺乏描述和操作。Richard Saltman和Antonio Duran在卫生市场自由化的背景下寻找新的提供者模式时,从两个方面进行了研究:(i)政府通过现代化的治理安排在提供护理方面平衡公共和私人利益和责任的作用,以及(ii)发现运营复杂性可能会阻碍精心设计的提供者治理模式,除非治理反映了具体国家的实际情况。本评论以Saltman和Duran的讨论为基础,并认为治理的概念需要明确定义和操作,以便有助于政策辩论以及制定适用的绩效改进框架。它提供了治理的工作定义,并包括对组织或社会中主流文化规范的反思,任何治理都需要在这些规范的基础上构建。本文建议探讨是否可以引入“循证治理”概念来产生关于创新和有效治理模式的知识,并得出结论,与Saltman和Duran的研究类似的研究可以为这场辩论提供信息。
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引用次数: 8
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PSN: Health/Wellness (Topic)
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