最优货币和审慎政策

F. Collard, Harris Dellas, B. Diba, Olivier Loisel
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引用次数: 160

摘要

最近的金融危机突出了宏观经济与金融稳定之间的相互联系,并提出了是否以及如何结合相应的主要政策工具(利率和银行资本要求)的问题。本文给出了货币政策和审慎政策共同最优设置的特征,并讨论了其对经济周期的影响。金融脆弱性的根源是由于有限责任和存款保险导致的银行社会过度冒险。我们描述了局部最优(拉姆齐)政策将审慎工具用于防止银行低效冒险的条件;货币工具来应对经济周期,这两种工具负共变。因此,我们的分析确定了可以验证央行官员普遍观点的情况,即标准利率政策不能作为抵御金融不稳定的第一道防线。此外,我们还提供了条件下,这两种工具可能最优地共同积极和反周期移动。
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Optimal Monetary and Prudential Policies
The recent financial crisis has highlighted the interconnectedness between macroeconomic and financial stability and has raised the question of whether and how to combine the corresponding main policy instruments (interest rate and bank-capital requirements). This paper offers a characterization of the jointly optimal setting of monetary and prudential policies and discusses its implications for the business cycle. The source of financial fragility is the socially excessive risk-taking by banks due to limited liability and deposit insurance. We characterize the conditions under which locally optimal (Ramsey) policy dedicates the prudential instrument to preventing inefficient risk-taking by banks; and the monetary instrument to dealing with the business cycle, with the two instruments co-varying negatively. Our analysis thus identifies circumstances that can validate the prevailing view among central bankers that standard interest-rate policy cannot serve as the first line of defense against financial instability. In addition, we also provide conditions under which the two instruments might optimally co-move positively and countercyclically.
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