在易受感染的恢复进程中最大限度地传播消息

Kundan Kandhway
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项工作中,我们借用生物学(流行病)的模型,将信息的传播建模为易感-感染-恢复(SIR)过程。我们假设目标人群很大。此外,还考虑了种群的均匀混合。运动者招募人们传播信息,以最大限度地扩大其影响范围,这是除了标准的流行病传播之外。我们把活动家的这种干预称为登记。注册可以通过广告向人们宣传,例如,在社交媒体、印刷或电子媒体等。选择合适的成本函数,并将给定的情况作为一个数学优化问题,更具体地说,是一个最优控制问题。对公式化问题进行了数学分析。为此,探讨了最优控制问题解的存在性。进一步,我们研究了最优状态轨迹的性质。我们为优化病毒式营销策略、政治或社会意识活动等提供有用的见解。
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Maximizing Spread of a Message in the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Process
In this work we borrow models from biology (epi-demics) to model spread of a message as a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) process. We assume that the target population is large. Further, homogeneous mixing of population is considered. The campaigner enrolls people to spread the message to maximize its reach, this is in addition to the standard epidemic spread. We term this intervention by the campaigner as enrollment. Enrollment may be done by reaching out to people through advertisements, for example, in social media, in print or electronic media, etc. An appropriate cost function is chosen and the given situation is posed as a mathematical optimization problem, more specifically, an optimal control problem. The formulated problem is mathematically analyzed. To this end, the existence of a solution to the optimal control problem is explored. Further, we study the nature of state trajectories at the optimum. We provide insights that are useful in optimizing viral marketing strategies, political or social awareness campaigns, etc.
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