不确定和风险世界中的管理哲学

V. Diev
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摘要

本文探讨了不确定性和风险的现代世界中的管理哲学问题。作者认为,对经营基础的了解可以提高哲学系毕业生在劳动市场上的竞争力。本文重点讨论了客观不确定性的存在及其方法论意义。量化可能事件实现的概率的能力使得从概念上区分风险情况和不确定情况成为可能。风险是决策的结果,其评估是主观的。风险和不确定性是现代管理中最重要的因素,而理性和风险并不是对立的,风险条件下的决策是一种有意识的、理性的选择。我们强调,在现代社会科学中,存在着科学理性的转变,其核心结论是,今天理性决策方法的基础是风险评估和风险管理。
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Philosophy of Management in a World of Uncertainty and Risk
The paper deals with the problems of philosophy of management in the modem world of uncertainty and risk. The author believes that acquaintance with the basics of management increases the competitiveness of graduates of philosophical faculties in the labor market. The paper focuses on the existence of objective uncertainty and the methodological significance of this factor. The ability to quantify the probability of the realization of possible events makes it possible to conceptually distinguish between situations of risk and situations of uncertainty. Risk is a consequence of the decision, and its assessment is subjective. Risk and uncertainty are the most important factors of modern management, while rationality and risk are not antipodes, and decision-making under risk conditions involves a conscious and rational choice. We emphasize that in modern social science there is a transformation of scientific rationality, and core to the conclusion that today the foundations for a rational approach to decision-making are risk assessment and risk management.
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