利用计算智能创建确定关键基础设施对象雷击次数的算法

M. Rezinkina, O. Rezinkin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用计算智能来创建统计模型的算法,该模型描述了闪电引线通道向地面移动的最后阶段的电物理过程,同时考虑了地面物体传播反火花的可能性。该模型是根据雷电引线通道的速度、正负极性引线通道形成所需的电场强度等实验数据建立的。通过将高压放电对地面及地面上物体造成场所破坏的概率计算结果与已知实验数据进行比较,证实了该模型与所考虑过程的对应性。给出了对关键基础设施(即储油罐)的预测雷击进行评估的模型实施实例。
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Usage of the Computational Intelligence to Create Algorithms for Determination the Number of Lightning Strokes to Objects of Critical Infrastructure
Usage of the computational intelligence to create algorithms of the statistical model that describes the electro physical processes at the last stage of the the lightning leader channel movement to the ground, taking into account the possibility of propagation of a counter spark from ground objects has been proposed. This model is based on experimental data on the speed of the lightning leader channel, the electric field strengths necessary for the development of leader channels of negative and positive polarity, etc. The correspondence of this model to the considered processes is confirmed by comparing the results of calculation the probabilities of places destruction by high-voltage discharge of the earth and objects located on it with known experimental data. An example of the model implementation for appreciation of the prognosticated lightning strikes to an object of the critical infrastructure, namely tanks for oil storage, has been presented.
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