一种利用马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗方法分析排队系统的方法:交通流案例研究

Xin Ci Wong, Syed Khaleel Ahmed, Fadhilali Zulkift, A. Ramasamy
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在我们的城市社区,不得不排队等候是每天的麻烦事,因为宝贵的时间被浪费了。一个简单的例子是道路上的交通拥堵。减少这些拥堵不仅可以最大限度地减少时间浪费,还可以带来更健康的生活。由于这个原因,已经采取了各种方法来缓解这个问题。本文提出了一种模拟道路交通流行为的方法。这是由于即使对于中等复杂的系统,基于概率论和排队系统也难以获得精确解。本文采用的仿真技术是基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗技术。结果表明,该模型可以准确地建立交通行为模型。因此,这种简单的方法可以扩展到其他类似的系统,如计算机网络、通信系统等。
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An apporach for analyzing queuing systems using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods : A traffic flow case study
In our urban community, having to wait in line is a daily nuisance as precious time is wasted. One simple example is traffic congestion on roads. Reduction of these congestions will not only minimize time wastage but also lead to a healthier life. For this reason, various approaches have been taken to mitigate this problem. In this paper, a simulation approach is proposed to model and investigate the behavior of traffic flow on roads. This is due to the difficulty in obtaining exact solutions based on probability theory and queuing systems even for moderately complex systems. In this paper, the simulation technique used is based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique. It is noticed that the result obtained shows that traffic behavior can be modeled accurately. Thus, this simple approach can be extended to other similar systems such as computer networks, communication systems, etc.
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