重大维修活动排序的多属性知识临界框架——以水泥生料厂为例

Lilian. O. Iheukwumere-Esotu, A. Yunusa‐Kaltungo
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引用次数: 3

摘要

系统故障分析提高了决策者实施有利于他们管理的系统的策略的能力。然而,在工业维护活动中,如大修、中断、关闭和周转(mosts),缺乏知识和经验,限制了这种故障分析的有效性。鼓励从专家的隐性知识中产生的知识行动的转化。实现这种转换的关键步骤是通过严格评估相关的维护属性来确定维护工作的优先级。任务的临界性分析被认为是确定MoOSTs活动优先级的有效方法。本文结合传统的方法,利用数学关系分析专家排序的频率和后果因子值的属性来确定关键活动,并结合模糊逻辑系统开发了一个模糊推理系统(FIS),用于生成MoOSTs活动的模糊临界数。在这方面,传统方法定性临界矩阵和专家边界设置为FIS提供基线信息,建立If-Then规则和映射两个清晰输入和输出的隶属函数。以某水泥厂的生料磨系统(RMS)为例,验证了该系统的实用性。两种方法的结果比较显示临界数值略有不同,但捕获临界mosts活动的能力一致。此外,由于模糊逻辑系统具有较强的灵敏度,从而提高了结果的有效性。
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A Multi-Attribute Knowledge Criticality Framework for Ranking Major Maintenance Activities: A Case Study of Cement Raw Mill Plant
Systematic failure analysis enhances the ability of decision makers to implement strategies that are beneficial to systems they manage. However, in industrial maintenance activities such as, Major overhauls, outages, shutdowns and turnarounds (MoOSTs) there is scarcity of knowledge and experience, limiting the effectiveness of such failure analysis. Transformation of knowledgeable actions generated from experts’ tacit based knowledge from performing MoOSTs is encouraged. A key step to achieve such transformation is by prioritizing maintenance efforts by critically assessing relevant maintenance attributes. Criticality analysis of tasks is considered as an effective approach for prioritizing MoOSTs activities. This paper combines a traditional approach for analysing attributes of frequency and consequence factor values ranked by experts using a mathematical relationship to determine critical activities as well as a fuzzy logic system to develop a fuzzy inference system (FIS) for generating fuzzy criticality numbers of MoOSTs activities. In this regard, the traditional method qualitative criticality matrix, and boundary settings by experts provide baseline information for the FIS, to establish If-Then rules and map membership functions of two crisp inputs and output. Practical applicability is demonstrated using a Raw Mill System (RMS) from a cement manufacturing plant. The comparison of results from the two methods shows slight variations in criticality numbers, howbeit a consistent ability to capture critical MoOSTs activities. Moreover, the validity of results obtained by the fuzzy logic system is enhanced and more superior because it can demonstrate sensitivity.
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