模糊时间成本权衡问题的依赖机会规划模型

Hua Ke, Weimin Ma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在实际项目中,项目成本与项目完成时间之间的权衡以及环境的不确定性都是决策者需要考虑的问题。然而,对时间成本权衡问题的研究很少涉及模糊环境。本文提出了一种基于依赖机会规划思想的模糊时间成本权衡模型,该模型利用可信性理论来描述活动持续时间的不确定性。提出了一种将模糊仿真和遗传算法相结合的混合智能算法来搜索给定决策规则下的最优调度方案。本文的目的是揭示在模糊环境下如何获得项目完工时间和项目成本的最优平衡。
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A dependent-chance programming model for fuzzy time-cost trade-off problem
In real projects, both the trade-off between the project cost and the project completion time, and the uncertainty of the environment are considerable aspects for decision-makers. However, the research on the time-cost tradeoff problem seldom concerns fuzzy environments. In this paper, a new fuzzy time-cost trade-off model with the philosophy of dependent-chance programming is proposed, in which credibility theory is applied to describe the uncertainty of activity durations. A searching method as a hybrid intelligent algorithm integrating fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm is produced to search the optimal schedule under the given decision-making rule. The purpose of the paper is to reveal how to obtain the optimal balance of the project completion time and the project cost in fuzzy environment.
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