因变量时间序列中未观测数据对预测的影响及其在多元线性回归分析中的位置——以co2排放影响因素为例

Amira I. El-Desokey
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引用次数: 0

摘要

使用各种统计技术,时间序列预测对于准备和预测未来至关重要。它取决于对一个变量在未来某个未知时间的值作出准确的预测。本研究分析了时间序列的缺失数据(一个模型没有缺失观测值,三个模型在不同位置被认为是因变量的缺失数据)。通过对研究的四个模型进行标准多元线性回归,可知序列一致、透明,在统计可接受范围内,分析采用普通最小二乘法和加权最小二乘法寻找缺失观测的最佳预测模型。
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INFLUENCE OF UNOBSERVED DATA IN THE TIME SERIES OF THE DEPENDENT VARIABLE AND THEIR POSITION IN ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION ON PREDICTION - CASE STUDY ON: FACTORS AFFECTING CO_2 EMISSIONS
Using a variety of statistical techniques, time series forecasting is crucial for preparing for and predicting the future. It is contingent on making an accurate forecast as to the value of a variable at some unknown time in the future. This research analyzed the missing data from the time series (a model with no missing observations and three models were considered to be missing data for the dependent variable at various positions). By a standard multiple linear regression of the four models of the study, it is clear that the series is consistent, transparent, within the bounds of statistical acceptability, the analysis used the Ordinary least square and the weighted least square to find the best prediction model with missed observation.
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