多准则工程决策问题的分析网络过程与贝叶斯网络模型的结合

G. Szűcs, G. Sallai
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文结合层次分析法和贝叶斯网络两种有效的数学建模工具,研究工程领域(信息通信网络)中的多准则决策分析问题。介绍了贝叶斯网络的一种扩展,该向量贝叶斯网络能够计算信息通信网络中节点故障对最终用户发生的不同错误的影响。提出了一种将专家知识与概率论相结合的方法来分析故障扩散问题。最后给出了一个网络问题的数值算例来验证我们的理论概念。
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Combination of analytic network process and Bayesian Network model for Multi-Criteria Engineering Decision problems
This paper deals with multi criteria decision analysis in an engineering area (info-communication networks) by combining two effective mathematical modelling tools: analytic hierarchy process and Bayesian network. An extension of Bayesian network is introduced, this vector Bayesian network is able to calculate the effects of the node faults in info-communication networks on different errors occurred at end users. We have developed a method combining expert knowledge and probabilistic theory to analyse fault spreading problem. A numerical example of network problem is worked out in order to certify our theoretical conception.
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