入境模式,相关生产力,以及美国移民改革的全球影响

Chen Liu
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我提出了一个一般均衡模型和定量证据,以获得对美国移民改革的经济后果的理解。工人选择在哪个国家生活,选择在哪个国家工作,以及选择移民到目的国的入境方式。通过校准模型,我发现减少家庭签证的主要后果是非法移民的增加,这减弱了对美国和其他国家的工资影响。我的分析表明,最近以大幅削减亲属签证为中心的政策建议,不太可能是减少低技能移民的有效方法。
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Modes of Entry, Correlated Productivity, and the Global Impacts of U.S. Immigration Reform
I present a general equilibrium model and quantitative evidence to gain an understanding of the economic consequences of U.S. immigration reform. Workers choose a country in which to live, an occupation in which to work, and an entry mode for migration to the destination country. Calibrating the model, I find the main consequence of reducing family visas is the increase in illegal immigration, which attenuates the wage impact on the United States and foreign countries. My analysis suggests that the recent policy proposals centered around dramatic cuts to family-visas are unlikely to be an effective method in reducing low-skill immigration.
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